What a crazy journey this has been, it still feels like a dream at times. Just 10 months ago I started this epic run with a tiny Tradezero account with $3800 in it, my last and final attempt to make it as a trader. I still remember that dark feeling I had at the time. All the money and effort I put into this and nothing to show for it over 3 years of endless frustration. The glimpses of success which gave me confidence were quickly erased with blowup red days. I found myself in this cyclical pattern, a roller coaster ride filled with the entire spectrum of human emotion.
Those closest to me advised me to stop, to give up my dream of becoming a pro trader. What they saw was a destructive behavior and a life spiraling out of control. What I saw was a deep passion, a burning desire to achieve my goal of millionaire trader status.
Thank god I didn’t quit!
People who have followed my journey have asked why things are different now. Why I am having such success when just a year ago I couldn’t even put together consecutive green months. And the answer is simple…
I remember my mindset when I tweeted that last May. I had just blown up an account and came to this deep realization. But I hadn’t fully internalized the message until a few months later. I think the reason this tweet resonates so well with other traders is we all know it to be true. We all know what we have to do to be successful in this game, yet very few are able to do it. Its the transition from knowledge to acceptance to execution of your plan, and it takes time to grow from one stage to the next. I was in the middle stage when I tweeted this and it took me half a year and another blown account to make it to the next.
Rewiring your brain to focus on execution over profits is one of the most difficult things to do as a trader. Money is such an emotional thing and its ultimately why we get into trading, that’s why we base our trading actions on P/L over execution. Once I started focusing on my execution more than anything else, my account grew exponentially. The tragic irony is most traders give up before they come to this profound realization. I can only imagine how many traders would have made it if they just kept going, kept ignoring the doubters, kept believing in themselves, because that’s exactly what it took for me to get here.
I look back at each stage of my trading career and realize how far I really was from professional status. At the time its easy to convince yourself otherwise, but the market doesn’t care for your delusions. Each trader has to pay a hefty tuition fee to the markets in order to learn and grow, there’s no shortcuts here if that’s what you think. People look at my success now and think how easily I can make an average salary in a few hours, while in the comfort of my home. But how many of them are willing to go through hell to get here? Every successful trader has many setbacks and realizations before reaching pro status.
Since my last blog post in late March, there have been even further realizations and new obstacles that come with sizing up and trading with a large account. As my profit cushion grew, so did my BP and ego. That is a very dangerous combination if left unchecked. I learned the importance of wiring money out of your account and resetting to a base amount in order to protect yourself. Rinse and repeating that process, over and over. Once you build enough of a cushion, you can consider sizing up another level. But you want to be extra cautious in this stage because the fall will be much harder if you slip.
Trading position dollar values over $100k is difficult in small caps and you need to piece in and out of positions to avoid creating a log jam in price action and avoid algo detection. Algos will track your block orders and try to bully you out of positions or take your fills. Hiding size and using multiple smaller orders is my technique to counter this. I no longer use hard stop losses or any orders that are sitting in the book. I only place orders when I want to fill, and they are never further than 10 cents from the market. When trading size you stick out like a sore thumb, don’t give algos/MMs any more information than they need.
Having the right broker is crucial when trading size in small caps. I made the switch from Tradezero to CenterPoint Securities in early May and never looked back. The difference in executions alone is night and day. Locate costs are a fraction of the cost and the platform is stable and lightning fast. Having direct access is a must if you are trading size. The ability to send orders to different routes is a complete game changer for me. I was so used to filling last at specific price levels, now I have multiple route coded hotkeys to give myself the freedom I need to fill size with priority.
As my profit cushion grew I noticed my execution dropping slightly. I wasn’t as strict with my sizing, entries, or covers. Its important to catch yourself slipping before the market does, because the latter will be much more painful. This is where keeping a daily execution log is critical, you will notice it dropping and can correct the issue before it spirals out of control. Tracking your execution early on will help enforce the concept in your mind until it becomes second nature. That’s the main difference between my trading now and 1-2 years ago. In the past I would allow stretches of poor execution to continue until I was punished by the market.
Now my internal barometer is so fine tuned and etched into my brain that I don’t track it anymore, I just do it out of instinct. Its muscle memory at this point, similar to Jordan shooting blind free throws. I can just feel when my execution is dropping and correct myself instantly. I’m not immune to breaking rules, i’m still human after all, and fall to emotional impulses like FOMO from time to time. The difference is the frequency and magnitude of those rule breaks has decreased significantly compared to my past trading tendencies.
One of my students recently asked me if I feel like I’ve “made it”. I was reluctant to say yes because I know from past experiences that you are always one mistake away from blowing up. One stretch of bad luck coupled with a lapse of judgement and you can wipe out your account in a flash. My confidence as a trader is the highest of my career, but I constantly remind myself of what can happen if you let that become overconfidence. I will never assume that I am smarter than the market just because of my track record. Any successful trader knows they can be wrong at any given time. That’s why i’m constantly trying to improve and refine my edge and execution. A traders growth never stops.
I still respect risk and protect my capital against black swans and periods of extreme outliers in system performance. I may use wide stops but I never jeopardize my account for a single trade. If the market is going to beat me it will have to be over a long period of time.
At this stage of the game its all about preservation. Remember what got you here and stay as focused as you can. The profits will continue to snowball and your world will open up. Only now can I finally say all the growing pains were worth it. This is quite possibly the greatest feeling I have experienced in my 32 years on this earth. From the lowest of lows to feeling on top of the world in 10 months. That’s the power of trading and compounded bankroll growth. That’s what we all dream of as traders.
My plan going forward is to continue to build my profit cushion with the size i’m currently trading. I’m very comfortable with this range now and have been executing well for months. As that cushion grows, it will become even easier to deal with the drawdowns as they represent a smaller percentage of my overall profits. This stage of trading is what we all strive for, consistency, conviction, and confidence.
Q/A:
I wanted to thank you all for the input on twitter and great topics for discussion.
I distinctly remember my frame of mind in the early growth stages of my account, back in Nov/Dec. I had a quiet confidence I could do this before actually achieving the goal. The reason for this was my unwavering focus on execution. Despite all the losses and blown accounts, I had this sense of optimism and that helped me during drawdowns. I just kept reminding myself that its part of the process. If you focus on the long run, then today’s loss doesn’t seem that bad.
My main strategy is shorting parabolics, stocks moving up in a short period of time. I’ve recently added gap up shorts to my arsenal and its been a great success. I use trade ideas exclusively as my scanner. As far as filter settings go, this is depending on your goals as a trader. The only way to find out what works for you is to track the data and over time it will become apparent what settings are ideal for your strategy. Alot of guys ask for my scanner settings, and it would be a disservice to them unless they understand WHY those filters matter. How will they have any conviction in them during drawdowns? I recommend using an excel database and track at least 300 tickers and make conclusions based on that.
Scanner settings wont make you profitable, only execution will.
Top ticking is not an exact science. Even when I take an entry I have no idea if its the top or not. I just go with my criteria and take the trade, no hesitation. Ways to increase odds of a top tick are lvl2/tape reading and key resistance levels on the chart. During a parabolic squeeze, if you see the tape speed slowing down at resistance levels, coupled with hidden selling or stacked offers on the lvl2, that will give you added conviction to enter the position. If you want confirmation before entering then I would recommend waiting for a shift in the tape/momentum or hit a lower high and risk HOD. Even with all these tactics, top ticking is simply a guess, but an educated one.
My stops are quite wide as you guys know. Usually between 60-100% from my entry. In my experience, the wider the stop, the better. The reason for this is to increase your win% and expected growth and compounding factors as much as possible. A high win rate strategy is the best for exponential bankroll growth. See my previous blogs for a detailed example. I’ve also introduced a max dollar loss on a position, so If I decide to size in heavier than normal, I will lower my stop to respect that dollar amount.
Im reaching the maximum position size I can comfortably take in these lower liquidity small caps. When its a higher volume play I size in a bit more when the opportunity presents. Transitioning to mid/large caps is a possibility in the near future but will need to gather a large database and ensure the edge will be sufficient. At the moment I have no problem banking 100-200k per month and can do that without over leveraging myself in low volume pumps. I would like to build a cushion for a year or two and then consider my options.
As I’ve sized up, the odds of a partial fill and wasting locates has increased. To counter this I like to locate half my intended position as the stock is spiking and wait for prints to hit the ask before accepting them. This way you can fill a partial and if volume dries up or it tanks, you don’t waste money on unnecessary locate fees. I have a general rule of 2% max for locates. So for example I wouldn’t pay more than .06/share on a 3 dollar stock. I will make exceptions if other factors are on my side however.
Having a backtested strategy is one of the most important things a trader needs to have. Not only to provide you with an edge, but also to give you the conviction to stick with that edge during inevitable drawdowns. You need to track the data in excel and have at least 300 tickers in your database before the edges become apparent. I track everything you can think of from float, market cap, shares outstanding, short float%, insider%, institutional ownership%, 200 day SMA/EMA, open, high, low, close, volume (dollar, absolute, relative, average), VWAP, SSR. The more info the better! I highly recommend learning excel formulas so you can determine the edges yourself, many free guides available online.